7
Dark Lieutenant
5yo Gelding · 11-7 · OR 92
Down Royal · Eventsec Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 3m 45y
#6
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 7.4 /10 (raw 7.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | Clonmel | Mr D O'Sullivan | BHA90 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-12 | Down Royal | Danny Mullins | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-03-26 | Clonmel | Richard Condon | BHA89 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-03-07 | Gowran Park | Richard Condon | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-02-03 | Fairyhouse | Danny Mullins | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-11-30 | Fairyhouse | Mr R W Barron | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 20100% of fieldRange 1-1 · tight 88/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +3.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 20. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10/2025 | 9th | 250/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 25/10/2025 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 30/11/2025 | 6th | 80/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 03/02/2026 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 07/03/2026 | 11th | 100/1 | 0% | 41% | +0.41 |
| 26/03/2026 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 22/10/2026 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 93% | +0.93 |