2
Good World
11yo Gelding · 11-13 · OR 98
Down Royal · Eventsec Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 3m 45y
#2
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#2
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength6%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 6.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C10.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | Killarney | Peter Smithers | BHA100 | 0 | ||
| 2026-09-04 | Kilbeggan | Michael Kenneally | BHA102 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Tramore | Michael Kenneally | BHA103 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Punchestown | Shane O'Callaghan | BHA106 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Kilbeggan | Ricky Doyle | BHA99 | 0 | ||
| 2025-11-04 | Fairyhouse | Calum Hogan | BHA100 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 2068% of fieldRange 7-19 · tight 57/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength37%
Delivery trend -3.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 20. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08/2024 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 13/09/2024 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 47% | +0.31 |
| 20/10/2024 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 27/05/2025 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 20/09/2025 | 13th | 50/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 04/11/2025 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 07/06/2026 | 10th | 22/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 14/08/2026 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 67% | +0.61 |
| 04/09/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |