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6yo Gelding · 10-9 · OR 80
Down Royal · Eventsec Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 3m 45y
#11
Rank
Odds
11/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 9.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | Fairyhouse | Sam Ewing | BHA78 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-28 | Limerick | Phillip Enright | BHA79 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-10 | Cork | Phillip Enright | BHA78 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-12 | Down Royal | Phillip Enright | BHA80 | 0 | ||
| 2025-11-25 | Tramore | Phillip Enright | BHA80 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-10-14 | Punchestown | Phillip Enright | BHA78 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +1.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 20.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07/2024 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 20/09/2024 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 07/06/2025 | 18th | 20/1 | 0% | 6% | +0.06 |
| 20/09/2025 | 16th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 14/10/2025 | 2nd | 40/1 | 0% | 95% | +0.95 |
| 25/11/2025 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 73% | +0.13 |
| 10/05/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 85% | +0.69 |
| 28/05/2026 | 8th | 6/1 | 68% | 36% | -0.32 |
| 05/10/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 85% | +0.58 |