8

Heroes Of Renown
12yo Gelding · 11-6 · OR 91
Down Royal · Eventsec Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 3m 45y
#3
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#3
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 8.4 /10 (raw 6.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C10.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | Clonmel | Harry Sexton | BHA94 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-10-06 | Galway | Paddy Hanlon | BHA95 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-06-10 | Sligo | Miss A S O'Connor | BHA106 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2025-04-21 | Cork | Miss A S O'Connor | BHA114 | 0 | ||
| 2023-01-22 | Thurles | Mr T O'Connor | BHA114 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2022-07-15 | Killarney | Sean Flanagan | BHA122 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 2063% of fieldRange 5-20 · tight 45/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength33%
Delivery trend +1.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 20.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10/2021 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 22% | +0.17 |
| 22/04/2022 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 05/05/2022 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 27/05/2022 | 10th | 17/2 | 55% | 18% | -0.37 |
| 15/07/2022 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 22/01/2023 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 10/06/2025 | 13th | 80/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 06/10/2026 | 3rd | 50/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 22/10/2026 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |