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Juke Box Rock

7yo Gelding · 11-8 · OR 93

Down Royal · Eventsec Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 3m 45y

#1

Rank

Odds

11/1

Win Prob

100%

Place Prob

90%

Rank

#1

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Jukebox Jury gelding out of a useful dam. Knocking on the door over hurdles prior to advancing his form with chasing debut success at Tramore (2½m) last October. Hurdle mark now looks potentially lenient if returning in similar heart, and he's unexposed over this longer trip.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength25%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 8.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C9.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Punchestown 16/11/2023 · Pos 15th of 22 · OR - · 2m107y Sft 16616/11C8C8 @ Thurles 30/11/2023 · Pos 11th of 16 · OR - · 2m101y Yie 153C8 @ Navan 09/12/2023 · Pos 17th of 26 · OR - · 2m Hvy 1619/12C8BHA93 @ Down Royal 23/01/2024 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR 93 · 2m1f33y Sft 166 · below its mark23/01/2024 · OR 93 parBHA93 @ Bellewstown 28/08/2024 · Pos 8th of 16 · OR 93 · 2m1f40y Gd 166 · below its mark28/08/2024 · OR 93 par28/0893OR 93BHA93 @ Clonmel 03/10/2024 · Pos 4th of 16 · OR 93 · 2m3f206y Goo 166 · below its mark03/10/2024 · OR 93 parBHA92 @ Sligo 20/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 92 · 2m4f107y Gd 160 · below its mark20/08/2025 · OR 92 par20/0892OR 92BHA93 @ Navan 20/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR 93 · 2m3f Yie 161 · below its mark20/09/2025 · OR 93 parC0 @ Tramore 09/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 2m4f80y Yie 1669/10C?projClass-projected finish: 1st of 20
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2025-10-09TramoreKeith Donoghue?1st1st0
2025-09-20NavanKeith DonoghueBHA932nd2nd0
2025-08-20SligoKeith DonoghueBHA923rd3rd0
2024-10-03ClonmelKeith DonoghueBHA934th4th0
2024-08-28BellewstownKeith DonoghueBHA938th8th0
2024-01-23Down RoyalSean FlanaganBHA937th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/1123/0120/089/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 2089% of fieldRange 5-12 · tight 73/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength58%

Delivery trend -3.9% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 20. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/11/202315th250/10%33%+0.33
30/11/202311th200/10%33%+0.33
09/12/202317th250/10%36%+0.36
23/01/20247th25/10%60%+0.60
28/08/20248th10/147%53%+0.06
03/10/20244th6/168%80%+0.12
20/08/20253rd7/163%82%+0.19
20/09/20252nd10/382%93%+0.11
09/10/20251st5/287%100%+0.13