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3

Mister Vic

8yo Gelding · 11-13 · OR 98

Down Royal · Eventsec Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 3m 45y

#7

Rank

Odds

18/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#7

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Decisive winner at Ballinrobe for Noel Kelly last summer. Showed promise when 3¼ lengths third of 14 in handicap hurdle at Downpatrick (2¾m) on stable debut last time. Return to 3m/first-time cheekpieces both look positives, too.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 7.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C10.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA93 @ Downpatrick 15/06/2024 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR 93 · 2m5f180y Goo 172 · below its mark15/06/2024 · OR 93 par15/0693OR 93BHA93 @ Downpatrick 11/08/2024 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR 93 · 2m5f180y Gd 166 · below its mark11/08/2024 · OR 93 parBHA95 @ Down Royal 30/08/2024 · Pos 12th of 19 · OR 95 · 3m Goo 161 · below its mark30/08/2024 · OR 95 par30/0895OR 95BHA90 @ Ballinrobe 22/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR 90 · 2m6f41y Gd 159 · beat its mark22/07/2025 · OR 90 parBHA104 @ Roscommon 05/08/2025 · Pos 8th of 16 · OR 104 · 3m Goo 160 · below its mark05/08/2025 · OR 104 par5/08104OR 104BHA103 @ Kilbeggan 15/05/2026 · Pos 13th of 14 · OR 103 · 1m7f153y Goo 159 · below its mark15/05/2026 · OR 103 parBHA102 @ Clonmel 05/06/2026 · Pos 13th of 16 · OR 102 · 2m3f61y Goo 159 · below its mark05/06/2026 · OR 102 par5/06102OR 102BHA100 @ Wexford 07/08/2026 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR 100 · 3m Goo 168 · below its mark07/08/2026 · OR 100 parBHA98 @ Downpatrick 09/10/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR 98 · 2m5f180y Goo 168 · below its mark09/10/2026 · OR 98 par9/1098OR 98projClass-projected finish: 15th of 20
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-09DownpatrickSean Cleary-FarrellBHA983rd3rd0
2026-08-07WexfordSean Cleary-FarrellBHA10010th10th0
2026-06-05ClonmelJohn ShinnickBHA10213th13th0
2026-05-15KilbegganBrian HayesBHA10313th13th0
2025-08-05RoscommonMr L T TurnerBHA1048th8th0
2025-07-22BallinrobeMr D McGillBHA901st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/0622/075/069/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 2037% of fieldRange 9-20 · tight 61/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength28%

Delivery trend -2.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 13th of 20. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/06/20248th33/10%46%+0.46
11/08/20242nd12/137%93%+0.56
30/08/202412th17/255%39%-0.16
22/07/20251st8/158%100%+0.42
05/08/20258th12/137%53%+0.16
15/05/202613th100/10%8%+0.08
05/06/202613th80/10%20%+0.20
07/08/202610th28/10%25%+0.25
09/10/20263rd15/261%85%+0.24