1

Sights Unseen

7yo Mare · 12-0 · OR 99

Down Royal · Eventsec Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 3m 45y

#4

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#4

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Hit-and-miss handicap hurdler who ended last season out of sorts for Gavin Cromwell. Shaped with a little promise when 8¾ lengths fourth on stable debut/reappearance (had also gone well fresh previously) at Fairyhouse. Far from certain to back that up, though.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Class-adjusted form 7.7 /10 (raw 5.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C10.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA94 @ Downpatrick 23/05/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 94 · 2m5f180y Gd 166 · beat its mark23/05/2025 · OR 94 par23/0594OR 94C0 @ Tramore 30/05/2025 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 2m5f180y Goo 159BHA99 @ Wexford 23/07/2025 · Pos 10th of 15 · OR 99 · 3m1f110y Gd 167 · below its mark23/07/2025 · OR 99 par23/0799OR 99BHA99 @ Listowel 26/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR 99 · 2m6f Goo 167 · below its mark26/09/2025 · OR 99 parBHA102 @ Fairyhouse 04/11/2025 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR 102 · 3m Sft 158 · below its mark04/11/2025 · OR 102 par4/11102OR 102BHA102 @ Tramore 25/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR 102 · 2m5f Sft 158 · below its mark25/11/2025 · OR 102 parBHA101 @ Navan 14/12/2025 · Pos 16th of 19 · OR 101 · 2m4f Sft 147 · below its mark14/12/2025 · OR 101 par14/12101OR 101BHA100 @ Fairyhouse 01/01/2026 · Pos 10th of 17 · OR 100 · 3m2f Yie 159 · below its mark01/01/2026 · OR 100 parBHA99 @ Fairyhouse 05/10/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR 99 · 3m Gd 159 · below its mark05/10/2026 · OR 99 par5/1099OR 99projClass-projected finish: 11th of 20
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-05FairyhouseAlix BalfeBHA994th4th0
2026-01-01FairyhouseAlix BalfeBHA10010th10th0
2025-12-14NavanAlix BalfeBHA10116th16th0
2025-11-25TramoreAlix BalfeBHA1025th5th0
2025-11-04FairyhouseAlix BalfeBHA1029th9th0
2025-09-26ListowelAlix BalfeBHA992nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/0526/0914/125/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 2095% of fieldRange 1-15 · tight 50/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength72%

Delivery trend +8.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 20. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/05/20251st13/891%100%+0.09
30/05/20253rd13/891%82%-0.10
23/07/202510th13/266%36%-0.30
26/09/20252nd33/10%93%+0.93
04/11/20259th16/116%33%+0.18
25/11/20255th22/10%67%+0.67
14/12/202516th20/10%17%+0.17
01/01/202610th25/10%44%+0.44
05/10/20264th50/10%75%+0.75