9

Sneddy Eddie
6yo Gelding · 11-5 · OR 90
Down Royal · Eventsec Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 3m 45y
#8
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength45%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 8.2)
Highest class: BHA53
Recent avg: C8.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | Bellewstown | Nina Doherty | BHA53 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-28 | Down Royal | James Smith | BHA90 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-09 | Downpatrick | Jack Kennedy | BHA85 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Kilbeggan | Joshua Halford | BHA87 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Downpatrick | Jack Kennedy | BHA88 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Wexford | Joshua Halford | BHA88 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 2084% of fieldRange 2-13 · tight 61/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength64%
Delivery trend -1.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 20.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/11/2025 | 21st | 200/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 06/12/2025 | 26th | 80/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 04/05/2026 | 13th | 250/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 03/07/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 69% | +0.53 |
| 14/07/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 71% | -0.05 |
| 24/07/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 80% | +0.33 |
| 09/08/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 28/08/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 71% | +0.00 |
| 30/09/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 27% | -0.10 |