IvyArcIvyArc
14

True Harmony

6yo Gelding · 10-11 · OR 82

Down Royal · Eventsec Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 3m 45y

#13

Rank

Odds

13/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#13

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Winning pointer whose best effort over hurdles came when runner-up in 3m Wexford handicap in May. Has made a positive start over fences, despite not going with much fluency. Capable if first-time cheekpieces have the desired effect back over hurdles.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 7.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Clonmel 26/02/2026 · Pos 8th of 16 · OR - · 2m3f64y Hvy 15826/02C8C8 @ Wexford 17/03/2026 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR - · 2m Sft 166C8 @ Downpatrick 29/03/2026 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR - · 2m5f185y Yie 15829/03C8BHA81 @ Punchestown 13/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 18 · OR 81 · 3m Goo 151 · below its mark13/05/2026 · OR 81 parBHA80 @ Wexford 27/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR 80 · 3m Goo 148 · below its mark27/05/2026 · OR 80 par27/0580OR 80BHA83 @ Downpatrick 13/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR 83 · 2m5f180y Gd 155 · below its mark13/06/2026 · OR 83 parBHA83 @ Wexford 23/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR 83 · 3m Gd 151 · below its mark23/07/2026 · OR 83 par23/0783OR 83BHA82 @ Wexford 28/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR 82 · 3m1f Yie 151 · below its mark28/08/2026 · OR 82 parBHA82 @ Killarney 04/10/2026 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR 82 · 2m7f100y Goo 150 · below its mark04/10/2026 · OR 82 par4/1082OR 82projClass-projected finish: 4th of 20
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-04KillarneyJ J SlevinBHA824th4th0
2026-08-28WexfordPhilip DonovanBHA825th5th0
2026-07-23WexfordBrian HayesBHA836th6th0
2026-06-13DownpatrickMr B T StoneBHA836th6th0
2026-05-27WexfordPhilip DonovanBHA802nd2nd0
2026-05-13PunchestownPhilip DonovanBHA819th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/0213/0523/074/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 2047% of fieldRange 2-16 · tight 50/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▼
Strength58%

Delivery trend -4.4% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 11th of 20. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/02/20268th250/10%53%+0.53
17/03/202612th18/15%15%+0.10
29/03/20268th150/10%42%+0.42
13/05/20269th9/153%53%+0.00
27/05/20262nd12/137%92%+0.55
13/06/20266th2/189%58%-0.31
23/07/20266th11/271%58%-0.13
28/08/20265th12/137%67%+0.30
04/10/20264th11/271%79%+0.08