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20

Whatyouwant

8yo Mare · 10-2 · OR 73

Down Royal · Eventsec Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 3m 45y

#18

Rank

Odds

22/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#18

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Has popped up with a handicap win in the previous 2 calendar years (off 4 higher mark last autumn). Has blown more cold than hot so far this season, though better efforts have come over this trip. Makes a rare start without headgear here.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 8.5 /10 (raw 8.3)

Highest class: BHA76
Recent avg: C7.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA80 @ Down Royal 29/08/2025 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 80 · 3m GF 148 · below its mark29/08/2025 · OR 80 par29/0880OR 80BHA77 @ Kilbeggan 05/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR 77 · 3m200y Goo 145 · beat its mark05/09/2025 · OR 77 parC0 @ Curragh 26/06/2026 · Pos 13th of 13 · OR - · 1m4f Goo 16626/06C?BHA82 @ Limerick 02/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 18 · OR 82 · 2m6f120y Gd 150 · below its mark02/07/2026 · OR 82 parBHA80 @ Kilbeggan 10/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR 80 · 3m180y Goo 148 · below its mark10/07/2026 · OR 80 par10/0780OR 80BHA79 @ Ballinrobe 21/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 15 · OR 79 · 2m6f41y Gd 148 · below its mark21/07/2026 · OR 79 parBHA78 @ Killarney 22/08/2026 · Pos 13th of 15 · OR 78 · 2m4f50y Goo 149 · below its mark22/08/2026 · OR 78 par22/0878OR 78BHA77 @ Down Royal 28/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR 77 · 3m Goo 145 · below its mark28/08/2026 · OR 77 parBHA76 @ Limerick 17/10/2026 · Pos 11th of 18 · OR 76 · 2m5f70y Goo 144 · below its mark17/10/2026 · OR 76 par17/1076OR 76projClass-projected finish: 17th of 20
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-17LimerickAidan KellyBHA7611th11th0
2026-08-28Down RoyalThomas O'ConnorBHA776th6th0
2026-08-22KillarneyShane O'CallaghanBHA7813th13th0
2026-07-21BallinrobeGary NoonanBHA799th9th0
2026-07-10KilbegganAidan KellyBHA805th5th0
2026-07-02LimerickGary NoonanBHA827th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/082/0722/0817/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish19th of 205% of fieldRange 7-20 · tight 54/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength18%

Delivery trend -4.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 19th of 20. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/08/20256th50/10%50%+0.50
05/09/20251st80/10%100%+1.00
26/06/202613th80/10%0%0.00
02/07/20267th50/10%65%+0.65
10/07/20265th40/10%71%+0.71
21/07/20269th11/142%43%+0.01
22/08/202613th12/137%14%-0.23
28/08/20266th18/15%64%+0.59
17/10/202611th28/10%41%+0.41