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Alliteration

5yo Mare · 10-10 · OR 120

Down Royal · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Feathard Lady Mares Novice Hurdle (Grade 3) · 2m 190y

#1

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

98%

Place Prob

81%

Rank

#1

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Improver last season who was fitted with cheekpieces and a tongue strap when landing 2m Fairyhouse maiden in April. Showed even better form in defeat when second of 5 in listed event at Punchestown later that month and open to further progress.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▲6
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Class-adjusted form 7.6 /10 (raw 2.0)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C6.6
Today: 1
Class gap: -5.6
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Galway 26/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 2m11y Goo 15926/10C?C8 @ Fairyhouse 14/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 2m2f55y Yie 16114/01C8C8 @ Fairyhouse 03/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR - · 2m Sft 1613/02C8C8 @ Leopardstown 03/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 2m4f170y Sft 1613/03C8C8 @ Fairyhouse 04/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR 111 · 2m Yie 161 · beat its mark04/04/2026 · OR 111 par4/04C8OR 1111 @ Punchestown 30/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 117 · 2m90y Yie 158 · beat its mark30/04/2026 · OR 117 par30/041OR 117projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-04-30PunchestownKeith Donoghue12nd2nd0
2026-04-04FairyhouseDonagh Meyler?1st9th−7
2026-03-03LeopardstownKeith Donoghue?2nd10th−7
2026-02-03FairyhouseKeith Donoghue?3rd11th−7
2026-01-14FairyhouseKeith Donoghue?3rd11th−7
2025-10-26GalwayJosh Williamson?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/1014/013/023/034/0430/04
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 3-6 · tight 65/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength48%

Delivery trend -3.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/10/20251st8/158%100%+0.42
14/01/20263rd11/142%82%+0.40
03/02/20263rd10/382%86%+0.03
03/03/20262nd3/184%86%+0.02
04/04/20261st9/276%100%+0.24
30/04/20262nd10/147%75%+0.28