Brosna Queen
6yo Mare · 10-10 · OR 112
Down Royal · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Feathard Lady Mares Novice Hurdle (Grade 3) · 2m 190y
#7
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 12.5 /10 (raw 4.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | Listowel | Ricky Doyle | BHA113 | 8th | 20th | −10 |
| 2026-06-13 | Downpatrick | Ricky Doyle | ? | 1st | 9th | −7 |
| 2026-05-12 | Sligo | Ricky Doyle | ? | 5th | 13th | −7 |
| 2026-04-04 | Fairyhouse | Brian Hayes | ? | 6th | 14th | −7 |
| 2026-03-17 | Wexford | Brian Hayes | ? | −7 | ||
| 2025-11-16 | Navan | Miss A B O'Connor | 1 | 5th | 5th | +0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -0.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 79% | +0.79 |
| 08/06/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 03/10/2025 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 16/11/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 04/04/2026 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 12/05/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 73% | +0.05 |
| 13/06/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 20/09/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 59% | +0.43 |