8
Salsinha
5yo Mare · 10-10 · OR 118
Down Royal · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Feathard Lady Mares Novice Hurdle (Grade 3) · 2m 190y
#3
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#3
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▲6
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 10.0 /10 (raw 2.7)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C6.8
Today: 1
Class gap: -5.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-18 | Leopardstown | Mr J L Gleeson | ? | 4th | 12th | −7 |
| 2026-06-01 | Listowel | Darragh O'Keeffe | ? | 1st | 9th | −7 |
| 2026-05-13 | Punchestown | Darragh O'Keeffe | ? | 2nd | 10th | −7 |
| 2026-04-04 | Fairyhouse | Darragh O'Keeffe | ? | 4th | 12th | −7 |
| 2025-12-20 | Thurles | Darragh O'Keeffe | 1 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-16 | Navan | Darragh O'Keeffe | ? | 4th | 12th | −7 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 2-4 · tight 75/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▬
Strength69%
Delivery trend -1.2% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07/2025 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 16/11/2025 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 86% | +0.04 |
| 20/12/2025 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 75% | -0.12 |
| 04/04/2026 | 4th | 5/6 | 96% | 80% | -0.16 |
| 13/05/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 93% | +0.04 |
| 01/06/2026 | 1st | 4/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 18/06/2026 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 79% | -0.10 |