Gameball
6yo Gelding · 11-2 · OR 135
Down Royal · bottlegreen Hurdle (Listed) · 2m 190y
#4
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Class-adjusted form 8.5 /10 (raw 2.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | Listowel | Darragh O'Keeffe | 1 | 6th | 6th | −0 |
| 2026-07-30 | Galway | Darragh O'Keeffe | 1 | 3rd | 3rd | −0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Kilbeggan | Darragh O'Keeffe | BHA132 | 2nd | 17th | −12 |
| 2026-04-30 | Punchestown | Darragh O'Keeffe | ? | 3rd | 11th | −7 |
| 2025-11-30 | Fairyhouse | Darragh O'Keeffe | 1 | 4th | 4th | −0 |
| 2025-10-15 | Punchestown | Darragh O'Keeffe | ? | 1st | 10th | −7 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +2.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 4. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07/2025 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 15/10/2025 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 30/11/2025 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 57% | -0.17 |
| 30/04/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 80% | +0.06 |
| 10/07/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 92% | +0.13 |
| 30/07/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 89% | +0.63 |
| 25/09/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 64% | -0.15 |