Court Canyon
6yo Gelding · 11-12 · OR 120
Down Royal · Metcollect Handicap Chase · 2m 100y
#3
Rank
Odds
15/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 6.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | Galway | Sam Ewing | 1 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-04 | Down Royal | P J O'Hanlon | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-06 | Fairyhouse | S Bowen | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2025-12-16 | Catterick | Keith Donoghue | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-02 | Clonmel | Keith Donoghue | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-08-04 | Cork | Mr D G Lavery | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +1.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/2025 | 18th | 22/1 | 0% | 19% | +0.19 |
| 04/08/2025 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 56% | -0.08 |
| 02/10/2025 | 1st | 4/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 16/12/2025 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 88% | -0.03 |
| 06/04/2026 | 13th | 16/1 | 16% | 40% | +0.24 |
| 04/05/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 30/07/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |