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4

Farrokh

7yo Gelding · 11-7 · OR 115

Down Royal · Metcollect Handicap Chase · 2m 100y

#2

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

In-form 7-y-o who has his jumping in better order this season. Fairly useful effort when making it 2 wins from 4 starts in 2026 at Tramore last time. May need a good bit more again to defy a 7 lb rise in stronger company.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength19%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 4.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C10.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA96 @ Kilbeggan 25/07/2025 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 96 · 2m2f200y Goo 166 · below its mark25/07/2025 · OR 96 par25/0796OR 96BHA96 @ Ballinrobe 11/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR 96 · 2m169y Gd 164 · below its mark11/08/2025 · OR 96 parBHA97 @ Bellewstown 27/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR 97 · 2m1f40y Gd 163 · below its mark27/08/2025 · OR 97 par27/0897OR 97BHA100 @ Fairyhouse 11/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 16 · OR 100 · 2m Yie 168 · below its mark11/10/2025 · OR 100 parBHA100 @ Limerick 18/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 100 · 2m70y Yie 158 · below its mark18/10/2025 · OR 100 par18/10100OR 100BHA99 @ Wexford 22/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR 99 · 1m7f110y Gd 167 · beat its mark22/07/2026 · OR 99 parBHA106 @ Wexford 28/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 106 · 2m3f100y Yie 166 · below its mark28/08/2026 · OR 106 par28/08106OR 106BHA106 @ Ballinrobe 11/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR 106 · 2m1f48y Yie 162 · below its mark11/09/2026 · OR 106 parBHA108 @ Tramore 08/10/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 108 · 1m7f110y Yie 164 · beat its mark08/10/2026 · OR 108 par8/10108OR 108projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-08TramoreSean FlanaganBHA1081st1st0
2026-09-11BallinrobeLiam McKennaBHA1062nd2nd0
2026-08-28WexfordSean FlanaganBHA1064th4th0
2026-07-22WexfordDaniel KingBHA991st1st0
2025-11-20ThurlesSean FlanaganBHA1020
2025-10-18LimerickSean FlanaganBHA1006th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/0711/1028/088/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 74/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength98%

Delivery trend +2.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/07/20253rd4/179%82%+0.03
11/08/20253rd13/266%86%+0.20
27/08/20252nd10/382%93%+0.10
11/10/20254th10/382%80%-0.02
18/10/20256th4/179%50%-0.29
22/07/20261st9/153%100%+0.47
28/08/20264th6/168%63%-0.06
11/09/20262nd9/153%93%+0.41
08/10/20261st3/184%100%+0.16