3
Daydream Nation
6yo Gelding · 11-12
Down Royal · BetVictor Beginners Chase · 2m 3f 100y
#5
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#5
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-03 | Gowran Park | Ben Harvey | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-09-07 | Galway | Ben Harvey | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-30 | Punchestown | Ben Harvey | 1 | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2026-04-04 | Fairyhouse | Ben Harvey | 1 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-03 | Leopardstown | Ben Harvey | BHA118 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-01-18 | Thurles | Ben Harvey | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 48/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▬
Strength61%
Delivery trend +0.4% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 17/12/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 71% | -0.05 |
| 18/01/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 20% | -0.43 |
| 03/03/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 04/04/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 89% | +0.42 |
| 30/04/2026 | 15th | 11/1 | 42% | 39% | -0.03 |
| 07/09/2026 | 5th | 17/2 | 55% | 20% | -0.35 |
| 03/10/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 71% | +0.19 |