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14

Matin Midi Et Soir

4yo Gelding · 11-3

Down Royal · BetVictor Beginners Chase · 2m 3f 100y

#2

Rank

Odds

1/2

Win Prob

39%

Place Prob

30%

Rank

#2

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Quickly developed into a useful hurdler at Auteuil, his latest success coming in a Group 3 over 2¼m last autumn. Failed to live up to his billing for new connections at Punchestown in May after 8 months off but that was in a Grade 1. Tongue strap on for chase debut. Well worth another chance.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C0.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Auteuil 30/03/2025 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 1m6f200y Hvy 14730/03C?C1 @ Auteuil 18/05/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 2m1f87y Hvy 14318/05C1C1 @ Auteuil 18/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 2m1f196y 14318/09C11 @ Punchestown 02/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 2m Yie 1542/051projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-02PunchestownDarragh O'Keeffe18th8th0
2025-09-18AuteuilKevin Nabet?1st1st0
2025-05-18AuteuilBryony Le Clerc?2nd2nd0
2025-03-30AuteuilBryony Le Clerc?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/0318/0518/092/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 3-7 · tight 53/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength38%

Delivery trend -20.1% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/03/20251st4/179%100%+0.21
18/05/20252nd11/893%86%-0.07
18/09/20251st6/594%100%+0.06
02/05/20268th5/287%36%-0.50