8
Polepatrick
6yo Gelding · 11-12
Down Royal · BetVictor Beginners Chase · 2m 3f 100y
#3
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
16%
Place Prob
19%
Rank
#3
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Galway | Donagh Meyler | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-08 | Roscommon | Mike O'Connor | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Tramore | Darragh O'Keeffe | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-26 | Clonmel | Darragh O'Keeffe | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-02-09 | Navan | Niall Moore | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2024-12-26 | Down Royal | Mr D McGill | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 58/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▬
Strength86%
Delivery trend +1.4% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/05/2024 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 91% | +0.04 |
| 26/12/2024 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 46% | -0.06 |
| 09/02/2025 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 26/03/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 87% | -0.01 |
| 19/04/2026 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 08/06/2026 | 2nd | 1/1 | 95% | 50% | -0.45 |
| 07/09/2026 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |