13
Zanndabad
7yo Gelding · 11-12
Down Royal · BetVictor Beginners Chase · 2m 3f 100y
#4
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
13%
Place Prob
18%
Rank
#4
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 10.5 /10 (raw 5.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 | Curragh | James Ryan | BHA89 | 22th | 22th | 0 |
| 2026-08-21 | York | J P Spencer | 2 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Newcastle | N G McCullagh | 2 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | Chester | C Lee | 2 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-11 | Aintree | Daniel King | 1 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-11-29 | Newcastle | Daniel King | 2 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 4-7 · tight 68/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength6%
Delivery trend -2.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08/2025 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 13/09/2025 | 9th | 17/2 | 55% | 50% | -0.05 |
| 19/10/2025 | 1st | 4/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 29/11/2025 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 11/04/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 08/05/2026 | 8th | 11/1 | 42% | 50% | +0.08 |
| 27/06/2026 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 63% | +0.58 |
| 21/08/2026 | 14th | 10/1 | 47% | 13% | -0.34 |
| 27/09/2026 | 22nd | 40/1 | 0% | 28% | +0.28 |