10

Gaelic Seer

4yo Filly · 10-13

Down Royal · WTW Willis Flat Race · 2m 190y

#6

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Masar filly who was much too keen for her own good and failed to build on the minor promise of her debut when fifth of 10 in a Fairyhouse bumper (2m) 3 weeks ago. Needs to find a good deal more if she's to land this.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Ballinrobe 11/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR - · 2m5y Goo 15011/09C?C0 @ Fairyhouse 10/10/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 2m Goo 16010/10C?projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-10FairyhouseAnna McGuinness?5th5th0
2026-09-11BallinrobeMr J L Gleeson?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/0910/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 8-8 · tight 71/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -8.9% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/09/20263rd5/174%50%-0.24
10/10/20265th9/488%56%-0.33