2
Passenger
7yo Gelding · 12-0
Down Royal · WTW Willis Flat Race · 2m 190y
#2
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
15%
Place Prob
23%
Rank
#2
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C0.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 | Cork | Mr F Maguire | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-12-29 | Leopardstown | Mr F Maguire | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-12-14 | Navan | Mr F Maguire | 1 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-08-04 | Cork | Mr F Maguire | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-01-01 | Fairyhouse | Mr F Maguire | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2024-06-08 | Punchestown | Mr F Maguire | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 43/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▬
Strength73%
Delivery trend +1.4% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/06/2024 | 6th | 9/4 | 88% | 74% | -0.14 |
| 01/01/2025 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 75% | +0.09 |
| 04/08/2025 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 14/12/2025 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 33% | -0.46 |
| 29/12/2025 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 88% | +0.72 |
| 11/10/2026 | 3rd | 4/9 | 98% | 67% | -0.31 |