6

Premier Division

5yo Gelding · 11-7

Down Royal · WTW Willis Flat Race · 2m 190y

#5

Rank

Odds

4/9

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#5

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Walk In The Park gelding who has shaped with plenty of promise on all 3 bumper outings to date, producing best effort to date after 4 months off when second in a big field at Punchestown (19f) during the spring. Stable won this 12 months ago and he sets a high standard.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 2.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Fairyhouse 29/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 2m Yie 16829/11C?C0 @ Leopardstown 26/12/2025 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 2m Yie 16426/12C?C0 @ Punchestown 01/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 21 · OR - · 2m2f181y Yie 1681/05C?projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-01PunchestownMr H C Swan?2nd2nd0
2025-12-26LeopardstownMr H C Swan?3rd3rd0
2025-11-29FairyhouseMr P W Mullins?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/1126/121/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 1-1 · tight 77/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +19.1% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/11/20253rd11/1094%80%-0.14
26/12/20253rd9/276%82%+0.06
01/05/20262nd11/271%95%+0.24