3
Rokanako
5yo Gelding · 12-0
Down Royal · WTW Willis Flat Race · 2m 190y
#4
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#4
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength13%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 | Cork | Mr P A King | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-09-24 | Listowel | Mark Walsh | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-09-03 | Kilbeggan | Phillip Enright | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Killarney | Mr P A King | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Bellewstown | Mr P A King | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Kilbeggan | Mr P A King | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 6-8 · tight 76/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▼
Strength17%
Delivery trend -5.3% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07/2025 | 12th | 25/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 31/05/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 04/07/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 80% | +0.33 |
| 22/08/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 88% | +0.14 |
| 03/09/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 86% | -0.01 |
| 24/09/2026 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 69% | -0.16 |
| 11/10/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 83% | +0.10 |