1

Arizona Storm

2yo Gelding · 9-7 · Draw 14

Dundalk · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden · 5f

#8

Rank

Odds

250/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★ Timeform

Commentary

Big prices and well held in 2 turf outings over 6f this autumn.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 10.5 /10 (raw 10.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Naas 17/09/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR - · 5f205y Yie 13117/09C8C8 @ Curragh 15/10/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR - · 6f Sft 12615/10C8projClass-projected finish: 5th of 5
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-15CurraghLeigh Roche?10th10th0
2026-09-17NaasSeamie Heffernan?11th11th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/0915/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1342% of fieldRange 10-10 · tight 71/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength27%

Delivery trend +9.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/09/202611th300/10%9%+0.09
15/10/202610th300/10%18%+0.18