2

Cultural Change

2yo Gelding · 9-7 · Draw 13

Dundalk · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden · 5f

#10

Rank

Odds

150/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

★ Timeform

Commentary

40/1, eighth of 10 in maiden at Navan (5f, soft) on debut 9 days ago. More one for the longer term on that evidence.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 8.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Navan 21/10/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 5f Yie 13321/10C8
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-21NavanBilly Lee?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1333% of fieldRange 6-11 · tight 50/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength11%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/10/20268th40/10%22%+0.22