3

Monologue

2yo Gelding · 9-7 · Draw 1

Dundalk · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden · 5f

#3

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#3

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Promising sort. 3 lengths third of 5 in C&D conditions event 6 weeks ago. Open to further improvement and should go well.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Down Royal 04/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 5f Goo 1344/09C8C0 @ Dundalk 18/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR - · 5f Std 13118/09C?projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 5
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-18DundalkJack Kearney?3rd3rd0
2026-09-04Down RoyalJack Kearney?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/0918/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1383% of fieldRange 3-3 · tight 71/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength87%

Delivery trend +16.2% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/09/20264th13/891%70%-0.21
18/09/20263rd17/255%50%-0.05