2
Aughlish
3yo Filly · 10-1 · Draw 11 · OR 59
Dundalk · View Restaurant At Dundalk Handicap (0-60) · 5f
#8
Rank
Odds
66/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class: BHA62
Recent avg: C7.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | Curragh | Adam Browne-Souza | BHA62 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-09-25 | Dundalk | Declan McDonogh | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Down Royal | Jack Kearney | BHA68 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-26 | Dundalk | Declan McDonogh | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | Sligo | Declan McDonogh | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-23 | Dundalk | Declan McDonogh | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1438% of fieldRange 10-14 · tight 76/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -9.1% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 9th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/02/2026 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 10/04/2026 | 3rd | 22/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 23/04/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 88% | +0.35 |
| 03/05/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 33% | -0.43 |
| 26/05/2026 | 7th | 17/2 | 55% | 25% | -0.30 |
| 19/06/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 25/09/2026 | 12th | 16/1 | 16% | 15% | -0.00 |
| 15/10/2026 | 10th | 66/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |