IvyArcIvyArc
3

Blue Anthem

4yo Gelding · 10-0 · Draw 17 · OR 58

Dundalk · View Restaurant At Dundalk Handicap (0-60) · 5f

#1

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

83%

Place Prob

59%

Rank

#1

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Three-time winner for George Boughey in 2025. Without a win so far this year when initially trained by G.O'Leary but has run well in both starts for new connections, latest when creditable fifth of 14 in handicap at this course (6f) 7 days ago. Merits consideration.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength30%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 5.7)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA71 @ Dundalk 27/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 71 · 7f Std 131 · below its mark27/03/2026 · OR 71 par27/0371OR 71BHA69 @ Curragh 19/04/2026 · Pos 13th of 21 · OR 69 · 6f Sft 139 · below its mark19/04/2026 · OR 69 parBHA67 @ Curragh 04/05/2026 · Pos 13th of 20 · OR 67 · 6f Gd 137 · below its mark04/05/2026 · OR 67 par4/0567OR 67BHA64 @ Roscommon 18/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 15 · OR 64 · 7f94y Goo 134 · below its mark18/05/2026 · OR 64 parBHA60 @ Roscommon 30/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 15 · OR 60 · 7f94y Goo 142 · beat its mark30/06/2026 · OR 60 par30/0660OR 606 @ Brighton 24/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 57 · 5f215y Goo 132 · beat its mark24/08/2026 · OR 57 parC8 @ Laytown 10/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 56 · 6f Std 143 · beat its mark10/09/2026 · OR 56 par10/09C8OR 56BHA56 @ Dundalk 02/10/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 56 · 5f Std 138 · beat its mark02/10/2026 · OR 56 parBHA58 @ Dundalk 23/10/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR 58 · 6f Std 140 · beat its mark23/10/2026 · OR 58 par23/1058OR 58projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-23DundalkDylan Browne McMonagleBHA585th5th0
2026-10-02DundalkSam CoenBHA562nd2nd0
2026-09-10LaytownBilly Lee?2nd2nd0
2026-08-24BrightonBilly Loughnane63rd3rd0
2026-06-30RoscommonShane FoleyBHA608th8th0
2026-05-18RoscommonSiobhan RutledgeBHA648th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/0318/0510/0923/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1477% of fieldRange 3-12 · tight 54/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength50%

Delivery trend -6.7% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/03/20265th18/15%43%+0.38
19/04/202613th14/126%40%+0.14
04/05/202613th18/15%37%+0.32
18/05/20268th20/10%50%+0.50
30/06/20268th10/382%50%-0.32
24/08/20263rd5/696%50%-0.46
10/09/20262nd11/486%89%+0.03
02/10/20262nd5/287%91%+0.04
23/10/20265th5/287%69%-0.18