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6

Bye Bye Now

4yo Filly · 9-11 · Draw 4 · OR 55

Dundalk · View Restaurant At Dundalk Handicap (0-60) · 5f

#4

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

7%

Rank

#4

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Made a winning handicap debut over C&D in March and backed that up with good in-frame efforts next 2 starts. Not been in same form since, though, and is now tried in cheekpieces.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength23%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class: BHA52
Recent avg: C6.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Dundalk 10/12/2025 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 5f Std 12910/12C8C8 @ Dundalk 28/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR - · 5f Std 142C8 @ Dundalk 11/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 6f Std 14211/02C8BHA52 @ Dundalk 20/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 52 · 5f Std 122 · beat its mark20/03/2026 · OR 52 parBHA59 @ Dundalk 01/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 59 · 5f Std 141 · beat its mark01/04/2026 · OR 59 par1/0459OR 59BHA57 @ Bellewstown 03/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR 57 · 5f3y Gd 139 · beat its mark03/07/2026 · OR 57 parBHA60 @ Down Royal 17/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR 60 · 5f Goo 142 · beat its mark17/07/2026 · OR 60 par17/0760OR 60BHA57 @ Dundalk 02/10/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR 57 · 5f Std 139 · beat its mark02/10/2026 · OR 57 par2/1057OR 57projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-02DundalkJack KearneyBHA576th6th0
2026-07-17Down RoyalPaddy HarnettBHA607th7th0
2026-07-03BellewstownSiobhan RutledgeBHA572nd2nd0
2026-04-01DundalkSiobhan RutledgeBHA594th4th0
2026-03-20DundalkSiobhan RutledgeBHA521st1st0
2026-02-11DundalkDylan Kidd?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/1220/0317/072/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1462% of fieldRange 2-14 · tight 34/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▼
Strength27%

Delivery trend -7.8% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 6th of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/12/20256th11/142%29%-0.14
28/01/20264th100/10%75%+0.75
11/02/20264th25/10%57%+0.57
20/03/20261st22/10%100%+1.00
01/04/20264th11/486%67%-0.19
03/07/20262nd10/147%92%+0.44
17/07/20267th4/179%40%-0.39
02/10/20266th8/158%55%-0.03