4
Caislean Ni Cuan
3yo Filly · 9-12 · Draw 9 · OR 56
Dundalk · View Restaurant At Dundalk Handicap (0-60) · 5f
#13
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 8.5 /10 (raw 7.8)
Highest class: BHA57
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-19 | Gowran Park | Colin Keane | BHA57 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-10-10 | Naas | Donagh O'Connor | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-09-27 | Curragh | N G McCullagh | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Curragh | N G McCullagh | BHA63 | 16th | 16th | 0 |
| 2026-08-09 | Curragh | N G McCullagh | BHA66 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Galway | N G McCullagh | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1415% of fieldRange 5-14 · tight 53/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength15%
Delivery trend -3.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/2026 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 63% | +0.07 |
| 18/07/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 28/07/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 69% | +0.69 |
| 09/08/2026 | 12th | 28/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 22/08/2026 | 16th | 50/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 27/09/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |
| 10/10/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 80% | +0.54 |
| 19/10/2026 | 11th | 13/2 | 66% | 17% | -0.49 |