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7

Jordan Breeze

4yo Gelding · 9-11 · Draw 3 · OR 55

Dundalk · View Restaurant At Dundalk Handicap (0-60) · 5f

#3

Rank

Odds

5/2

Win Prob

2%

Place Prob

9%

Rank

#3

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

C&D winner who got back on scoreboard at Cork in May. Not troubled the judge since but took a step back in right direction when fifth of 17 in handicap at the Curragh (5f, soft) 15 days ago. Enters calculations.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▬
Strength22%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 6.5)

Highest class: BHA48
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA60 @ Dundalk 31/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR 60 · 5f Std 142 · beat its mark31/10/2025 · OR 60 par31/1060OR 60BHA60 @ Dundalk 01/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 60 · 5f Std 142 · beat its mark01/04/2026 · OR 60 parBHA60 @ Bellewstown 11/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR 60 · 5f3y Sft 142 · beat its mark11/04/2026 · OR 60 par11/0460OR 60BHA60 @ Cork 19/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 60 · 5f Sft 142 · beat its mark19/05/2026 · OR 60 parBHA62 @ Navan 07/06/2026 · Pos 11th of 21 · OR 62 · 5f Goo 132 · below its mark07/06/2026 · OR 62 par7/0662OR 62BHA62 @ Down Royal 19/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 62 · 5f Sft 132 · below its mark19/06/2026 · OR 62 parBHA62 @ Naas 04/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 62 · 5f Goo 132 · below its mark04/07/2026 · OR 62 par4/0762OR 62BHA57 @ Cork 29/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 19 · OR 57 · 6f Sft 141 · beat its mark29/09/2026 · OR 57 parBHA55 @ Curragh 15/10/2026 · Pos 5th of 17 · OR 55 · 5f Sft 125 · beat its mark15/10/2026 · OR 55 par15/1055OR 55projClass-projected finish: 4th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-15CurraghRobyn Donaghue-LeahyBHA555th5th0
2026-09-29CorkAlan PersseBHA578th8th0
2026-07-04NaasRobyn Donaghue-LeahyBHA627th7th0
2026-06-19Down RoyalRobyn Donaghue-LeahyBHA626th6th0
2026-06-07NavanRobyn Donaghue-LeahyBHA6211th11th0
2026-05-19CorkRobyn Donaghue-LeahyBHA601st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today31/1019/054/0715/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 14100% of fieldRange 1-8 · tight 64/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▬
Strength84%

Delivery trend -0.5% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 14.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
31/10/20255th7/282%69%-0.12
01/04/20262nd7/163%89%+0.26
11/04/20262nd9/276%93%+0.17
19/05/20261st3/184%100%+0.16
07/06/202611th6/168%50%-0.18
19/06/20266th11/486%29%-0.57
04/07/20267th9/153%45%-0.07
29/09/20268th16/116%61%+0.45
15/10/20265th4/179%75%-0.04