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9

Subiaco

3yo Gelding · 9-10 · Draw 8 · OR 54

Dundalk · View Restaurant At Dundalk Handicap (0-60) · 5f

#2

Rank

Odds

11/2

Win Prob

14%

Place Prob

24%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Got off the mark on handicap bow over C&D in January but largely disappointed on next few starts. However, returned to form, on debut for new yard when creditable third of 12 in handicap over C&D (18/1) 28 days ago. Claims if building on that.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength25%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 8.0)

Highest class: BHA54
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Naas 23/07/2025 · Pos 8th of 17 · OR - · 5f205y Yie 13323/07C8C8 @ Cork 14/08/2025 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR - · 5f Goo 133C8 @ Down Royal 05/09/2025 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR - · 5f Gd 1265/09C8BHA54 @ Dundalk 23/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR 54 · 5f Std 123 · beat its mark23/01/2026 · OR 54 parBHA61 @ Dundalk 13/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 61 · 5f Std 119 · beat its mark13/02/2026 · OR 61 par13/0261OR 61BHA61 @ Naas 22/03/2026 · Pos 15th of 15 · OR 61 · 5f Sft 129 · below its mark22/03/2026 · OR 61 parBHA61 @ Dundalk 23/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 61 · 5f Std 132 · below its mark23/04/2026 · OR 61 par23/0461OR 61BHA56 @ Fairyhouse 05/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 17 · OR 56 · 6f Goo 132 · beat its mark05/06/2026 · OR 56 parBHA54 @ Dundalk 02/10/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 54 · 5f Std 136 · beat its mark02/10/2026 · OR 54 par2/1054OR 54projClass-projected finish: 9th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-02DundalkReese HolohanBHA543rd3rd0
2026-06-05FairyhouseManoel MarquesBHA5610th10th0
2026-04-23DundalkLeigh RocheBHA618th8th0
2026-03-22NaasLeigh RocheBHA6115th15th0
2026-02-13DundalkRory ClearyBHA614th4th0
2026-01-23DundalkLeigh RocheBHA541st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/0723/0123/042/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1492% of fieldRange 1-14 · tight 24/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength73%

Delivery trend -3.2% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/07/20258th80/10%56%+0.56
14/08/202512th40/10%15%+0.15
05/09/202511th80/10%9%+0.09
23/01/20261st28/10%100%+1.00
13/02/20264th10/382%70%-0.12
22/03/202615th7/163%0%-0.63
23/04/20268th9/488%0%-0.88
05/06/202610th33/10%44%+0.44
02/10/20263rd18/15%82%+0.77