8
Treasured Royal
3yo Filly · 9-11 · Draw 1 · OR 55
Dundalk · View Restaurant At Dundalk Handicap (0-60) · 5f
#6
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 12.2 /10 (raw 8.2)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-07 | Navan | Jack Kearney | BHA60 | 16th | 16th | 0 |
| 2026-09-21 | Fairyhouse | Robert Whearty | BHA63 | 18th | 18th | 0 |
| 2026-09-02 | Navan | Gary Carroll | BHA68 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Curragh | Jack Kearney | BHA71 | 20th | 20th | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Bellewstown | Robert Whearty | BHA73 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Fairyhouse | Gary Carroll | BHA73 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1469% of fieldRange 1-8 · tight 64/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength79%
Delivery trend +7.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/05/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 63% | -0.22 |
| 14/06/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 56% | -0.23 |
| 19/06/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 60% | -0.22 |
| 01/07/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 60% | -0.14 |
| 02/07/2026 | 4th | 18/5 | 81% | 25% | -0.56 |
| 22/08/2026 | 20th | 25/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 02/09/2026 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 21/09/2026 | 18th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 07/10/2026 | 16th | 50/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |