4
Chicago Call
3yo Gelding · 8-13 · Draw 4 · OR 84
Dundalk · BAR 1 Betting 'Bet 10 Get 50' Handicap · 6f
#7
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 6.6)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C4.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | Dundalk | Ben Coen | BHA84 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-09 | Curragh | Donagh O'Connor | BHA90 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Cork | Ben Coen | BHA93 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Naas | Seamie Heffernan | 1 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Navan | Ben Coen | 1 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-04 | Cork | Ben Coen | 1 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 72/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength96%
Delivery trend -0.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 44% | +0.18 |
| 22/09/2025 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 91% | +0.28 |
| 27/09/2025 | 21st | 18/1 | 5% | 31% | +0.26 |
| 04/04/2026 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 25/04/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 17% | -0.41 |
| 17/05/2026 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 24/07/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 30% | -0.07 |
| 09/08/2026 | 11th | 22/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 02/10/2026 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 57% | +0.52 |