7

Eddie G

5yo Gelding · 8-10 · Draw 6 · OR 80

Dundalk · BAR 1 Betting 'Bet 10 Get 50' Handicap · 6f

#3

Rank

Odds

15/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#3

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Dual 7f handicap scorer at Naas and Galway in July and ran his best race since when close second in handicap at the Curragh (7f, good to soft, 11/1) last month. Drops back in trip here and can't be ruled out.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 5.1)

Highest class: BHA62
Recent avg: C7.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA74 @ Down Royal 19/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 74 · 7f Sft 134 · below its mark19/06/2026 · OR 74 par19/0674OR 74BHA73 @ Leopardstown 09/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR 73 · 1m Goo 133 · below its mark09/07/2026 · OR 73 parBHA73 @ Naas 22/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 73 · 7f Goo 130 · beat its mark22/07/2026 · OR 73 par22/0773OR 73BHA75 @ Galway 28/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR 75 · 7f Yie 135 · beat its mark28/07/2026 · OR 75 parBHA83 @ Roscommon 31/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR 83 · 7f94y Yie 140 · below its mark31/08/2026 · OR 83 par31/0883OR 83BHA80 @ Galway 08/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 80 · 1m98y Sft 132 · below its mark08/09/2026 · OR 80 parBHA79 @ Listowel 22/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 79 · 1m Yie 132 · below its mark22/09/2026 · OR 79 par22/0979OR 79BHA79 @ Curragh 26/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 79 · 7f Yie 120 · below its mark26/09/2026 · OR 79 parBHA80 @ Leopardstown 18/10/2026 · Pos 15th of 16 · OR 80 · 1m100y Goo 132 · below its mark18/10/2026 · OR 80 par18/1080OR 80projClass-projected finish: 5th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-18LeopardstownJamie PowellBHA8015th15th0
2026-09-26CurraghDeclan McDonoghBHA792nd2nd0
2026-09-22ListowelReese HolohanBHA793rd3rd0
2026-09-08GalwayAdam CaffreyBHA805th5th0
2026-08-31RoscommonSam CoenBHA838th8th0
2026-07-28GalwayDylan Browne McMonagleBHA751st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/0628/0722/0918/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 1-8 · tight 32/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength45%

Delivery trend -5.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/06/20263rd18/15%75%+0.70
09/07/20269th12/137%33%-0.04
22/07/20261st18/15%100%+0.95
28/07/20261st7/282%100%+0.18
31/08/20268th12/137%36%-0.00
08/09/20265th15/261%33%-0.27
22/09/20263rd17/255%67%+0.11
26/09/20262nd11/142%89%+0.47
18/10/202615th28/10%7%+0.07