7

Anaverna

3yo Filly · 9-3 · Draw 10

Dundalk · Book Online At DundalkStadium.com Maiden · 1m

#10

Rank

Odds

300/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

★ Timeform

Commentary

No show in 2 outings over different trips this year, latest over 6f here last month.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength13%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 10.2 /10 (raw 10.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.8
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Down Royal 20/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR - · 1m2f96y Sft 12920/06C8C8 @ Dundalk 25/09/2026 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR - · 6f Std 125 · HIGHER CLASS25/09C8projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-25DundalkAleesha McArdle?11th10th+1
2026-06-20Down RoyalRobert Whearty?10th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/0625/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1446% of fieldRange 8-8 · tight 71/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength46%

Delivery trend +23.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/06/202610th200/10%0%0.00
25/09/202611th250/10%23%+0.23