8

Black Chicken

3yo Filly · 9-3 · Draw 11

Dundalk · Book Online At DundalkStadium.com Maiden · 1m

#12

Rank

Odds

150/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

★ Timeform

Commentary

Finished nearer last than first in both starts thus far and can only be watched here.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 9.5 /10 (raw 9.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Gowran Park 01/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 1m Yie 1291/06C8C8 @ Roscommon 30/06/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR - · 7f94y Goo 12930/06C8projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-30RoscommonSiobhan Rutledge?11th11th0
2026-06-01Gowran ParkDonagh O'Connor?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/0630/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1415% of fieldRange 13-13 · tight 71/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength4%

Delivery trend -5.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/06/20268th16/116%30%+0.14
30/06/202611th80/10%9%+0.09