2

Caption This

3yo Gelding · 9-8 · Draw 9

Dundalk · Book Online At DundalkStadium.com Maiden · 1m

#13

Rank

Odds

200/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#13

★ Timeform

Commentary

Well beaten in 4 maidens this year.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 11.3 /10 (raw 11.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Bellewstown 25/08/2026 · Pos 10th of 15 · OR - · 7f195y Goo 13425/08C8C8 @ Cork 09/09/2026 · Pos 17th of 18 · OR - · 1m Goo 1349/09C8C8 @ Down Royal 28/09/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR - · 7f26y Goo 13428/09C8C8 @ Roscommon 12/10/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR - · 7f111y Sft 13412/10C8projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-12RoscommonRobbie Colgan?9th9th0
2026-09-28Down RoyalRobbie Colgan?9th9th0
2026-09-09CorkRobbie Colgan?17th17th0
2026-08-25BellewstownRobbie Colgan?10th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/089/0928/0912/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 148% of fieldRange 10-14 · tight 69/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength2%

Delivery trend -5.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 13th of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/08/202610th80/10%36%+0.36
09/09/202617th250/10%6%+0.06
28/09/20269th300/10%0%0.00
12/10/20269th250/10%20%+0.20