3
Mothel Abbey
3yo Gelding · 9-8 · Draw 4
Dundalk · Book Online At DundalkStadium.com Maiden · 1m
#14
Rank
Odds
150/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 9.0 /10 (raw 9.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-08 | Thurles | Alan Persse | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-09-21 | Listowel | Alan Persse | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-08-06 | Leopardstown | Alan Persse | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 140% of fieldRange 14-14 · tight 77/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -23.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 14th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08/2026 | 8th | 250/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 21/09/2026 | 10th | 125/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 08/10/2026 | 9th | 200/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |