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11

Palace Fever

3yo Filly · 9-3 · Draw 3

Dundalk · Book Online At DundalkStadium.com Maiden · 1m

#9

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Palace Pier filly who offered plenty to work on when eighth of 17 in maiden (11/1) at Fairyhouse (7f, good) on debut 39 days ago, not knocked about after lacking a clear run. Likely to improve.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 8.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Fairyhouse 21/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 17 · OR - · 7f Goo 12921/09C8
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-21FairyhouseWayne Lordan?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1462% of fieldRange 6-11 · tight 50/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength65%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/09/20268th11/142%56%+0.14