Wearing Stars
3yo Filly · 9-3 · Draw 15 · OR 85
Dundalk · Book Online At DundalkStadium.com Maiden · 1m
#1
Rank
Odds
9/4
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
99%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 7 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 4.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Killarney | Ronan Whelan | 1 | 7th | -2th | +7 |
| 2026-07-25 | Gowran Park | Ronan Whelan | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Naas | Ronan Whelan | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Down Royal | Ronan Whelan | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-27 | Naas | Billy Lee | BHA73 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-04-04 | Cork | Billy Lee | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +3.1% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10/2025 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 58% | +0.00 |
| 28/11/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 83% | +0.36 |
| 19/12/2025 | 3rd | 5/6 | 96% | 85% | -0.11 |
| 04/04/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 70% | -0.14 |
| 27/04/2026 | 9th | 9/1 | 53% | 27% | -0.25 |
| 29/05/2026 | 2nd | 17/2 | 55% | 92% | +0.37 |
| 24/06/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 83% | +0.36 |
| 25/07/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 92% | +0.06 |
| 21/08/2026 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |