Bishopton
4yo Gelding · 10-0 · Draw 17 · OR 80
Dundalk · Happy Halloween Handicap · 1m
#8
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Class-adjusted form 8.2 /10 (raw 5.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | Dundalk | Kian McNally | BHA81 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Fairyhouse | Chris Hayes | BHA81 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Curragh | Wayne Lordan | BHA83 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Cork | Leigh Roche | BHA84 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Curragh | Wayne Lordan | BHA87 | 19th | 19th | 0 |
| 2026-03-27 | Dundalk | Paddy Harnett | BHA84 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -1.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10/2025 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 58% | -0.10 |
| 26/11/2025 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 25% | -0.38 |
| 12/12/2025 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 92% | +0.18 |
| 27/03/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 23/05/2026 | 19th | 25/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 14/06/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 27/06/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 08/07/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 33% | -0.35 |
| 09/10/2026 | 13th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |