3

Send Harry
4yo Gelding · 9-13 · Draw 8 · OR 79
Dundalk · Happy Halloween Handicap · 1m
#6
Rank
Odds
11/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class: BHA62
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | Dundalk | Adam Browne-Souza | BHA73 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-09-28 | Down Royal | Jimmy Dalton | BHA70 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-09-18 | Dundalk | Jimmy Dalton | BHA66 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-09-09 | Cork | Jimmy Dalton | BHA68 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Gowran Park | Jimmy Dalton | BHA72 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Galway | Jimmy Dalton | BHA73 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1469% of fieldRange 4-12 · tight 59/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▬
Strength44%
Delivery trend -0.5% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/05/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 29% | -0.29 |
| 18/06/2026 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 93% | +0.51 |
| 11/07/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 70% | -0.04 |
| 28/07/2026 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 43% | +0.17 |
| 07/08/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 64% | +0.00 |
| 09/09/2026 | 11th | 10/1 | 47% | 52% | +0.05 |
| 18/09/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 92% | +0.10 |
| 28/09/2026 | 8th | 5/1 | 74% | 46% | -0.28 |
| 09/10/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |