4
Snow Light
3yo Filly · 9-13 · Draw 15 · OR 82
Dundalk · Happy Halloween Handicap · 1m
#7
Rank
Odds
100/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#7
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C5.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Gowran Park | J M Sheridan | BHA84 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-11-27 | Chelmsford City | Billy Loughnane | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-10-29 | Kempton | Billy Loughnane | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-07-12 | Newmarket | W Buick | 3 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1446% of fieldRange 5-14 · tight 49/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength29%
Delivery trend +17.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07/2025 | 6th | 11/4 | 86% | 29% | -0.57 |
| 29/10/2025 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 89% | +0.02 |
| 27/11/2025 | 1st | 30/100 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 01/09/2026 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |