5
Son Of Beauty
3yo Gelding · 9-12 · Draw 6 · OR 81
Dundalk · Happy Halloween Handicap · 1m
#5
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#5
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | Leopardstown | Jack Kearney | BHA81 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Gowran Park | Jack Kearney | BHA83 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Leopardstown | Jack Kearney | BHA81 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-27 | Naas | Ben Coen | BHA84 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-22 | Naas | Jack Kearney | BHA87 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-06 | Dundalk | Jack Kearney | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1477% of fieldRange 1-10 · tight 53/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength76%
Delivery trend -2.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/01/2026 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 83% | +0.41 |
| 06/03/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 22/03/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 58% | +0.43 |
| 27/04/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 56% | +0.19 |
| 04/06/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 67% | -0.02 |
| 12/06/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 50% | -0.38 |
| 18/10/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 73% | +0.68 |