9
Suir Monad
3yo Gelding · 9-9 · Draw 11 · OR 78
Dundalk · Happy Halloween Handicap · 1m
#10
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength1%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class: BHA69
Recent avg: C7.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | Curragh | Sam Coen | BHA77 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-10-05 | Killarney | Sam Coen | BHA69 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-09-19 | Gowran Park | Andrew Slattery | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-09-08 | Galway | Andrew Slattery | BHA69 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Galway | Andrew Slattery | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-09 | Gowran Park | Andrew Slattery | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1462% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 71/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength85%
Delivery trend +0.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/12/2025 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 75% | +0.20 |
| 09/04/2026 | 4th | 7/4 | 91% | 67% | -0.24 |
| 01/08/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 82% | -0.02 |
| 08/09/2026 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 77% | +0.22 |
| 19/09/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 78% | +0.07 |
| 05/10/2026 | 1st | 85/40 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 15/10/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 83% | -0.02 |