10
Time Bender
3yo Gelding · 9-9 · Draw 5 · OR 78
Dundalk · Happy Halloween Handicap · 1m
#13
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | Galway | Wesley Joyce | BHA83 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Leopardstown | Adam Caffrey | BHA83 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-10-18 | Leopardstown | Wesley Joyce | BHA87 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-08-08 | Tipperary | Chris Hayes | 1 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-07-17 | Leopardstown | Chris Hayes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1415% of fieldRange 4-14 · tight 45/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength18%
Delivery trend -9.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07/2025 | 1st | 33/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 08/08/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 18/10/2025 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 09/07/2026 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 29/07/2026 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 30% | +0.25 |