6

Battle Borne

4yo Gelding · 9-12 · Draw 2 · OR 56

Dundalk · Irishinjuredjockeys.com Handicap (0-60) · 1m

#2

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Course maiden winner in February who stopped the slide in a change of headgear when fourth of 14 in handicap here (7f, 28/1) 7 days ago. Far from certain to be in the same form this time, though.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength15%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 10.0 /10 (raw 8.3)

Highest class: BHA56
Recent avg: C6.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA71 @ Leopardstown 12/04/2026 · Pos 17th of 17 · OR 71 · 1m Goo 131 · below its mark12/04/2026 · OR 71 par12/0471OR 71BHA70 @ Leopardstown 15/05/2026 · Pos 15th of 15 · OR 70 · 1m Gd 140 · below its mark15/05/2026 · OR 70 parC7 @ Dundalk 26/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 69 · 1m Std 134 · beat its mark26/05/2026 · OR 69 par26/05C7OR 69BHA64 @ Leopardstown 18/06/2026 · Pos 12th of 16 · OR 64 · 1m Goo 134 · below its mark18/06/2026 · OR 64 parBHA64 @ Down Royal 19/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 64 · 7f Sft 124 · below its mark19/06/2026 · OR 64 par19/0664OR 64BHA60 @ Navan 02/09/2026 · Pos 15th of 16 · OR 60 · 1m20y Goo 142 · below its mark02/09/2026 · OR 60 parBHA65 @ Dundalk 18/09/2026 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR 65 · 7f Std 136 · below its mark18/09/2026 · OR 65 par18/0965OR 65BHA62 @ Dundalk 09/10/2026 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR 62 · 7f Std 132 · below its mark09/10/2026 · OR 62 parBHA58 @ Dundalk 23/10/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR 58 · 7f Std 128 · beat its mark23/10/2026 · OR 58 par23/1058OR 58projClass-projected finish: 10th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-23DundalkNicola BurnsBHA584th4th0
2026-10-09DundalkPatrick McGettiganBHA6212th12th0
2026-09-18DundalkPatrick McGettiganBHA659th9th0
2026-09-02NavanPatrick McGettiganBHA6015th15th0
2026-06-19Down RoyalRory MulliganBHA648th8th0
2026-06-18LeopardstownJ M SheridanBHA6412th12th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/0418/0618/0923/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1477% of fieldRange 3-13 · tight 48/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength47%

Delivery trend +4.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/04/202617th50/10%0%0.00
15/05/202615th66/10%0%0.00
26/05/20262nd14/126%89%+0.63
18/06/202612th33/10%27%+0.27
19/06/20268th14/126%13%-0.14
02/09/202615th40/10%7%+0.07
18/09/20269th50/10%38%+0.38
09/10/202612th33/10%15%+0.15
23/10/20264th28/10%77%+0.77