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Chester Nimitz

4yo Gelding · 10-2 · Draw 14 · OR 60

Dundalk · Irishinjuredjockeys.com Handicap (0-60) · 1m

#9

Rank

Odds

15/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Maiden winner for Noel Meade in October. Has dropped a fair way in the weights this year and took a step back in the right direction in a first-time tongue strap at Naas (7f) in August but ran poorly on a rare outing at 6f there later that month.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 11.2 /10 (raw 6.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Galway 29/07/2025 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR 78 · 7f Yie 134 · below its mark29/07/2025 · OR 78 par29/07C8OR 78C8 @ Down Royal 29/09/2025 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR 72 · 7f26y Yie 134 · below its mark29/09/2025 · OR 72 parC8 @ Navan 08/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 72 · 5f180y Yie 134 · beat its mark08/10/2025 · OR 72 par8/10C8OR 72C5 @ Leopardstown 15/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR 78 · 7f Yie 138 · beat its mark15/04/2026 · OR 78 parBHA77 @ Roscommon 11/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR 77 · 7f111y Gd 137 · below its mark11/05/2026 · OR 77 par11/0577OR 77BHA73 @ Curragh 26/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 20 · OR 73 · 1m Gd 135 · below its mark26/06/2026 · OR 73 parBHA70 @ Fairyhouse 08/07/2026 · Pos 12th of 15 · OR 70 · 7f Goo 140 · below its mark08/07/2026 · OR 70 par8/0770OR 70BHA67 @ Naas 03/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 16 · OR 67 · 7f Goo 137 · below its mark03/08/2026 · OR 67 parBHA65 @ Curragh 22/08/2026 · Pos 23rd of 27 · OR 65 · 6f Goo 135 · below its mark22/08/2026 · OR 65 par22/0865OR 65projClass-projected finish: 12th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-22CurraghShane FoleyBHA6523th23th0
2026-08-03NaasGary CarrollBHA679th9th0
2026-07-08FairyhouseNicola BurnsBHA7012th12th0
2026-06-26CurraghNicola BurnsBHA739th9th0
2026-05-11RoscommonShane FoleyBHA779th9th0
2026-04-15LeopardstownShane Foley?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/0715/048/0722/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 148% of fieldRange 4-14 · tight 48/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength28%

Delivery trend -3.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 13th of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/07/20257th16/116%54%+0.38
29/09/202511th8/158%23%-0.35
08/10/20251st12/137%100%+0.63
15/04/20265th28/10%73%+0.73
11/05/20269th12/137%38%+0.02
26/06/20269th28/10%58%+0.58
08/07/202612th10/147%21%-0.26
03/08/20269th14/126%47%+0.20
22/08/202623rd14/126%15%-0.11